⚠️ Simulated trading only: virtual capital, simulated fills, no real money involved. Nothing here is investment advice.

Predict Market

A points-based prediction market inspired by Polymarket. Starting with US stocks and the economy. Guess right and split the losing side's pool; guess wrong and lose your stake. Bets can't be edited or cancelled, one bet per market. Sign up gets you 1000 points free. Points have no cash value and can't be redeemed — they're for on-site betting only.

economy🟢 Open

Will the S&P 500 (^GSPC) close above 8,000 by Sept 30?

Resolves YES if the S&P 500 index closes at or above 8,000 on Sept 30, 2026; NO otherwise. Close as of Sept 4: 7,747.71.

YES 64% (2688pt)NO 36% (1498pt)

Total volume 4186 pt · 83 bettors

Closes: 2026-09-30 15:00:00

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Bet history (83 bettors)
UserSidePointsTime
ShortSqueezeSteve599NO722026-09-04 10:20:48
BuyTheDipBeccaYES282026-09-04 09:54:09
ShortSqueezeSteveYES662026-09-04 08:34:54
MomentumMax979YES1002026-09-04 07:47:38
TrendFollowerTom960YES922026-09-04 07:07:59
AlphaSeekerAmy801NO422026-09-04 06:19:34
DividendDave960NO112026-09-04 05:59:51
OptionsGamblerYES822026-09-04 03:21:07
GrowthStockGary715YES722026-09-04 03:13:42
StonksHunterYES632026-09-04 01:51:13
RiskItRickYES452026-09-04 00:11:52
FOMOFrankYES252026-09-03 23:05:50
OptionsGambler744YES232026-09-03 22:58:09
RiskItRick653YES582026-09-03 22:50:54
MomentumMaxYES662026-09-03 22:21:18
BearMarketBradYES142026-09-03 21:13:39
SwingTradeSamNO102026-09-03 20:59:11
OptionsGambler434NO192026-09-03 20:40:59
IndexFundFan640YES612026-09-03 20:27:20
TrendFollowerTomYES542026-09-03 19:22:32
stock🟢 Open

Will Apple (AAPL) close below $310 by Sept 30?

Resolves YES if AAPL closes at or below $310 on Sept 30, 2026; NO otherwise. Close as of Sept 4: $328.21.

YES 54% (1894pt)NO 46% (1604pt)

Total volume 3498 pt · 67 bettors

Closes: 2026-09-30 15:00:00

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Bet history (67 bettors)
UserSidePointsTime
DividendDaveNO622026-09-04 09:12:49
GrowthStockGary302YES172026-09-04 08:48:45
IndexFundFan706NO912026-09-04 06:54:31
GrowthStockGary275YES222026-09-04 05:58:48
OptionsGamblerYES112026-09-04 05:30:54
ChartPatternProYES52026-09-04 05:07:08
DividendDaveYES732026-09-04 05:06:03
BuyTheDipBeccaYES52026-09-04 04:34:39
FOMOFrank15NO102026-09-04 03:02:28
DividendDaveNO582026-09-04 02:03:13
ContrarianCarl99YES652026-09-04 00:58:11
IndexFundFanYES562026-09-04 00:41:20
TechnicalTinaYES452026-09-04 00:21:18
ChartPatternPro342YES792026-09-03 23:24:34
IndexFundFan719NO752026-09-03 23:14:35
SwingTradeSam124NO752026-09-03 22:07:33
MarketWizard88YES492026-09-03 21:44:12
MomentumMaxNO422026-09-03 20:15:07
TechnicalTina321NO832026-09-03 18:31:51
BuyTheDipBeccaNO762026-09-03 16:25:17
stock🟢 Open

Will Nvidia (NVDA) close above $250 by Sept 30?

Resolves YES if NVDA closes at or above $250 on Sept 30, 2026; NO otherwise. Close as of Sept 4: $228.45.

YES 57% (440pt)NO 43% (327pt)

Total volume 767 pt · 16 bettors

Closes: 2026-09-30 15:00:00

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Bet history (16 bettors)
UserSidePointsTime
MarketWizard88936NO392026-09-04 06:55:41
YOLOTrader517NO792026-09-03 23:03:55
ChartPatternPro366YES802026-09-03 17:38:38
StonksHunterYES692026-09-03 12:48:35
TendiesTownNO472026-09-03 11:41:33
TechnicalTina594YES562026-09-03 11:15:21
MarketWizard88NO62026-09-02 21:13:02
TechnicalTinaNO462026-09-02 20:55:09
GrowthStockGaryNO462026-09-02 17:28:49
HODLHarry827NO132026-09-02 15:17:45
DividendDave233NO112026-09-02 08:20:55
ValueVulture712YES452026-09-02 06:59:57
MarketWizard88266YES952026-09-02 05:48:41
HODLHarryNO402026-09-02 04:11:46
SwingTradeSam915YES642026-09-02 03:40:06
GrowthStockGary756YES312026-09-01 23:29:12
stock🟢 Open

Will Tesla (TSLA) close below $340 by Sept 30?

Resolves YES if TSLA closes at or below $340 on Sept 30, 2026; NO otherwise. Close as of Sept 4: $376.37.

YES 50% (2532pt)NO 50% (2523pt)

Total volume 5055 pt · 99 bettors

Closes: 2026-09-30 15:00:00

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Bet history (99 bettors)
UserSidePointsTime
BullRunBenny407NO742026-09-04 10:23:17
StonksHunterNO622026-09-04 10:06:02
TechnicalTina882NO942026-09-04 09:12:36
BuyTheDipBecca972NO312026-09-04 06:20:30
SwingTradeSam375YES672026-09-04 04:19:16
BuyTheDipBeccaNO982026-09-04 03:47:45
TechnicalTina948YES442026-09-04 03:19:25
TendiesTown994NO522026-09-04 02:52:09
MomentumMax648NO162026-09-04 02:11:03
ContrarianCarlYES162026-09-04 00:19:52
ShortSqueezeSteveNO762026-09-03 23:10:50
BullRunBennyYES942026-09-03 21:37:07
FOMOFrankYES742026-09-03 21:23:16
DipBuyerDanNO612026-09-03 21:11:24
TrendFollowerTom979NO992026-09-03 20:30:54
MarketWizard88YES142026-09-03 19:57:09
TrendFollowerTom887YES992026-09-03 18:49:28
FOMOFrank919NO512026-09-03 18:00:21
TrendFollowerTomYES552026-09-03 17:42:24
MomentumMax606YES322026-09-03 17:15:46
stock🟢 Open

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 by Sept 30?

Resolves YES if MSFT closes at or above $530 on Sept 30, 2026; NO otherwise. Close as of Sept 4: $510.12.

YES 60% (1068pt)NO 40% (721pt)

Total volume 1789 pt · 35 bettors

Closes: 2026-09-30 15:00:00

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Bet history (35 bettors)
UserSidePointsTime
TendiesTownYES212026-09-04 05:21:19
GrowthStockGaryNO362026-09-04 04:05:21
ChartPatternPro401NO142026-09-04 02:39:30
ShortSqueezeSteve450YES982026-09-04 01:37:20
TrendFollowerTomYES522026-09-04 01:15:31
AlphaSeekerAmyNO432026-09-03 23:26:59
IndexFundFan393YES112026-09-03 23:05:26
DipBuyerDanYES752026-09-03 20:18:48
SwingTradeSamYES952026-09-03 18:40:07
RiskItRickYES222026-09-03 16:20:50
MarketWizard88682NO692026-09-03 15:20:31
ShortSqueezeSteveYES812026-09-03 11:07:56
DividendDaveYES52026-09-03 09:31:37
ShortSqueezeSteveNO522026-09-02 19:52:35
ContrarianCarlYES92026-09-02 17:39:54
SwingTradeSam290YES492026-09-02 16:08:29
TrendFollowerTom793YES442026-09-02 14:04:55
BuyTheDipBeccaNO472026-09-02 13:36:07
HODLHarryYES322026-09-02 13:17:19
IndexFundFanYES992026-09-02 11:29:50